- DJIA Index
- The #DJ(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 10523.00(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 11%(Pct Range) off of
9869.00(Month Low) to 10610.00(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the DJIA Index also closed
lower in August than July in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, the #DJ went on to penetrate the August low within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #DJ should penetrate 9869.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 9259.27(Average Objective).
- NYSE Composite Index
- The #YX(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 616.90(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 10%(Pct Range) off of
584.30(Month Low) to 621.10(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 17 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NYSE Composite Index also closed
lower in August than July in 7(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 7, the #YX went on to penetrate the August low within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #YX should penetrate 584.30(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move
toward 556.70(Average Objective).
- NASDAQ Composite Index
- The #COMPX(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 2027.10(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 9%(Pct Range) off of
1777.10(Month Low) to 2102.50(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 6 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ Composite Index also closed
lower in August than July in 2(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 2, the #COMPX went on to penetrate the August low within the next 2 months in 2 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #COMPX should penetrate 1777.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 2 years) a potential move
toward 1638.91(Average Objective).
- Russell 2000 Index
- The #RUT(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 484.78(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 12%(Pct Range) off of
465.42(Month Low) to 491.89(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Russell 2000 Index also closed
lower in August than July in 8(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 8, the #RUT went on to penetrate the August low within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #RUT should penetrate 465.42(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move
toward 432.61(Average Objective).
- S & P Midcap 400 Index
- The #MID(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 511.05(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 18%(Pct Range) off of
488.86(Month Low) to 516.58(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P Midcap 400 Index also closed
lower in August than July in 9(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 9, the #MID went on to penetrate the August low within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #MID should penetrate 488.86(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move
toward 463.37(Average Objective).
- Nikkei 225 Index
- The #SSNI(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 11861(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 2%(Pct Range) off of
10684(Month Low) to 12407(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 19 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Nikkei 225 Index also closed
lower in August than July in 8(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 8, the #SSNI went on to penetrate the August low within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SSNI should penetrate 10684(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move
toward 10124(Average Objective).
- December S & P 500(CME)
- The SPZ1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 1222.80(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 9%(Pct Range) off of
1131.50(Month Low) to 1238.90(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 19 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December S & P 500(CME) also closed
lower in August than July in 7(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 7, SPZ went on to penetrate the August low within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SPZ should penetrate 1131.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move
toward 1065.36(Average Objective).
- December NASDAQ 100(CME)
- The NDZ1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 1709.00(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 8%(Pct Range) off of
1459.00(Month Low) to 1791.00(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 5 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December NASDAQ 100(CME) also closed
lower in August than July in 2(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 2, NDZ went on to penetrate the August low within the next 2 months in 2 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NDZ should penetrate 1459.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 2 years) a potential move
toward 1359.22(Average Objective).
- December NYSE Composite(NYBOT)
- The YXZ1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 622.35(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 7%(Pct Range) off of
588.95(Month Low) to 623.50(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 19 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December NYSE Composite(NYBOT) also closed
lower in August than July in 7(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 7, YXZ went on to penetrate the August low within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the YXZ should penetrate 588.95(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move
toward 554.92(Average Objective).
- December 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT)
- The USZ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 103~09(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 88%(Pct Range) off of
101~27(Month Low) to 105~25(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT) also closed
higher in August than July in 12(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 12, USZ went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the USZ should exceed 105~25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 110~11(Average Objective).
- December 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT)
- The TYZ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 105~120(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 78%(Pct Range) off of
104~080(Month Low) to 107~040(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 19 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed
higher in August than July in 11(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 11, TYZ went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TYZ should exceed 107~040(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 110~156(Average Objective).
- December Eurodollars(IMM)
- The EDZ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 96.325(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 92%(Pct Range) off of
96.225(Month Low) to 96.620(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 19 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Eurodollars(IMM) also closed
higher in August than July in 12(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 12, EDZ went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDZ should exceed 96.620(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 97.325(Average Objective).
- March Eurodollars(IMM)
- The EDH2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 96.200(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 91%(Pct Range) off of
96.040(Month Low) to 96.530(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 19 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Eurodollars(IMM) also closed
higher in August than July in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, EDH went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDH should exceed 96.530(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 97.270(Average Objective).
- June Eurodollars(IMM)
- The EDM2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 95.895(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 91%(Pct Range) off of
95.690(Month Low) to 96.265(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 19 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Eurodollars(IMM) also closed
higher in August than July in 11(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 11, EDM went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDM should exceed 96.265(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 97.000(Average Objective).
- December Swiss Franc(IMM)
- The SFZ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 57.97(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 72%(Pct Range) off of
58.26(Month Low) to 60.75(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Swiss Franc(IMM) also closed
higher in August than July in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, SFZ went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SFZ should exceed 60.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 64.05(Average Objective).
- December Australian Dollar(IMM)
- The ADZ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 50.63(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 70%(Pct Range) off of
50.80(Month Low) to 53.65(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 14 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Australian Dollar(IMM) also closed
higher in August than July in 8(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 8, ADZ went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ADZ should exceed 53.65(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move
toward 54.99(Average Objective).
- November Heating Oil(NYM)
- The HOX1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 71.70(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 83%(Pct Range) off of
71.60(Month Low) to 79.10(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the November Heating Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in August than July in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, HOX went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOX should exceed 79.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 86.32(Average Objective).
- December Heating Oil(NYM)
- The HOZ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 72.45(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 82%(Pct Range) off of
72.40(Month Low) to 79.60(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Heating Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in August than July in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, HOZ went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOZ should exceed 79.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 86.83(Average Objective).
- January Heating Oil(NYM)
- The HOF2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 72.90(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 79%(Pct Range) off of
73.00(Month Low) to 79.85(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Heating Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in August than July in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, HOF went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOF should exceed 79.85(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 86.55(Average Objective).
- November Unleaded Gas(NYM)
- The HUX1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 70.09(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 79%(Pct Range) off of
69.70(Month Low) to 77.20(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 16 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the November Unleaded Gas(NYM) also closed
higher in August than July in 12(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 12, HUX went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HUX should exceed 77.20(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 85.03(Average Objective).
- December Unleaded Gas(NYM)
- The HUZ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 69.89(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 88%(Pct Range) off of
69.10(Month Low) to 75.40(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 16 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Unleaded Gas(NYM) also closed
higher in August than July in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, HUZ went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HUZ should exceed 75.40(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move
toward 83.48(Average Objective).
- January Unleaded Gas(NYM)
- The HUF2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 70.14(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 96%(Pct Range) off of
69.10(Month Low) to 74.40(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 16 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Unleaded Gas(NYM) also closed
higher in August than July in 9(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 9, HUF went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HUF should exceed 74.40(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move
toward 81.31(Average Objective).
- December Soybean Meal(CBOT)
- The SMZ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 166.40(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 79%(Pct Range) off of
159.50(Month Low) to 171.00(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Soybean Meal(CBOT) also closed
higher in August than July in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, SMZ went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SMZ should exceed 171.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 184.20(Average Objective).
- October Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCV1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 89.300(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 89%(Pct Range) off of
88.200(Month Low) to 90.400(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in August than July in 17(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 17, FCV went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCV should exceed 90.400(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 94.152(Average Objective).
- November Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCX1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 89.900(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 87%(Pct Range) off of
89.025(Month Low) to 90.700(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the November Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in August than July in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, FCX went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCX should exceed 90.700(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 94.508(Average Objective).
- January Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCF2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 89.950(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 70%(Pct Range) off of
89.250(Month Low) to 90.750(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in August than July in 11(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 11, FCF went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCF should exceed 90.750(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 93.208(Average Objective).
- October Sugar #11(NYBOT)
- The SBV1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 7.93(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 44%(Pct Range) off of
7.55(Month Low) to 8.37(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Sugar #11(NYBOT) also closed
lower in August than July in 23(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 23, SBV went on to penetrate the August low within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBV should penetrate 7.55(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 6.13(Average Objective).
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