- DJIA Index
- The #DJ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
July(Month). Compared to June's 10500.00(Prev Close), the market ended July at (Month Close),
that being 72%(Pct Range) off of
10121.00(Month Low) to 10679.00(Month High).
In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the DJIA Index also closed
higher in July than June in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, the #DJ went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #DJ should exceed 10679.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 11127.07(Average Objective).
- Dow Jones Transportation
- The #TRAN(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
July(Month). Compared to June's 2833.60(Prev Close), the market ended July at (Month Close),
that being 62%(Pct Range) off of
2738.00(Month Low) to 3007.80(Month High).
In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Transportation also closed
higher in July than June in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, the #TRAN went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #TRAN should exceed 3007.80(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 3231.45(Average Objective).
- December 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT)
- The USZ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
July(Month). Compared to June's 99~20(Prev Close), the market ended July at (Month Close),
that being 98%(Pct Range) off of
99~04(Month Low) to 103~12(Month High).
In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT) also closed
higher in July than June in 11(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 11, USZ went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the USZ should exceed 103~12(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 106~23(Average Objective).
- December 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT)
- The TYZ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
July(Month). Compared to June's 102~065(Prev Close), the market ended July at (Month Close),
that being 99%(Pct Range) off of
102~000(Month Low) to 105~135(Month High).
In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 19 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed
higher in July than June in 11(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 11, TYZ went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TYZ should exceed 105~135(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 107~308(Average Objective).
- December Eurodollars(IMM)
- The EDZ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
July(Month). Compared to June's 95.810(Prev Close), the market ended July at (Month Close),
that being 98%(Pct Range) off of
95.800(Month Low) to 96.335(Month High).
In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 19 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Eurodollars(IMM) also closed
higher in July than June in 11(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 11, EDZ went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDZ should exceed 96.335(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 96.849(Average Objective).
- December Swiss Franc(IMM)
- The SFZ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
July(Month). Compared to June's 55.91(Prev Close), the market ended July at (Month Close),
that being 84%(Pct Range) off of
55.06(Month Low) to 58.52(Month High).
In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Swiss Franc(IMM) also closed
higher in July than June in 11(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 11, SFZ went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SFZ should exceed 58.52(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 61.29(Average Objective).
- December Australian Dollar(IMM)
- The ADZ1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
July(Month). Compared to June's 50.70(Prev Close), the market ended July at (Month Close),
that being 35%(Pct Range) off of
50.15(Month Low) to 51.54(Month High).
In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 13 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Australian Dollar(IMM) also closed
lower in July than June in 7(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 7, ADZ went on to penetrate the July low within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ADZ should penetrate 50.15(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move
toward 48.09(Average Objective).
- October Gold(CMX)
- The GCV1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
July(Month). Compared to June's 272.5(Prev Close), the market ended July at (Month Close),
that being 30%(Pct Range) off of
265.8(Month Low) to 272.8(Month High).
In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Gold(CMX) also closed
lower in July than June in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, GCV went on to penetrate the July low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the GCV should penetrate 265.8(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 254.1(Average Objective).
- December Gold(CMX)
- The GCZ1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
July(Month). Compared to June's 273.5(Prev Close), the market ended July at (Month Close),
that being 31%(Pct Range) off of
267.0(Month Low) to 274.2(Month High).
In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Gold(CMX) also closed
lower in July than June in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, GCZ went on to penetrate the July low within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the GCZ should penetrate 267.0(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 254.6(Average Objective).
- October Unleaded Gas(NYM)
- The HUV1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
July(Month). Compared to June's 70.81(Prev Close), the market ended July at (Month Close),
that being 35%(Pct Range) off of
68.60(Month Low) to 75.05(Month High).
In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 16 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Unleaded Gas(NYM) also closed
higher in July than June in 9(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 9, HUV went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HUV should exceed 75.05(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move
toward 82.32(Average Objective).
- December Wheat(CBOT)
- The WZ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
July(Month). Compared to June's 273.00(Prev Close), the market ended July at (Month Close),
that being 54%(Pct Range) off of
272.00(Month Low) to 310.00(Month High).
In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Wheat(CBOT) also closed
higher in July than June in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, WZ went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the WZ should exceed 310.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 341.11(Average Objective).
- March Wheat(CBOT)
- The WH2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
July(Month). Compared to June's 286.75(Prev Close), the market ended July at (Month Close),
that being 50%(Pct Range) off of
286.50(Month Low) to 320.00(Month High).
In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Wheat(CBOT) also closed
higher in July than June in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, WH went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the WH should exceed 320.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 352.21(Average Objective).
- November Rough Rice(MCE)
- The RRX1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
July(Month). Compared to June's 5.40(Prev Close), the market ended July at (Month Close),
that being 12%(Pct Range) off of
5.00(Month Low) to 5.52(Month High).
In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 14 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the November Rough Rice(MCE) also closed
lower in July than June in 7(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 7, RRX went on to penetrate the July low within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RRX should penetrate 5.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move
toward 4.56(Average Objective).
- January Rough Rice(MCE)
- The RRF2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
July(Month). Compared to June's 5.63(Prev Close), the market ended July at (Month Close),
that being 2%(Pct Range) off of
5.29(Month Low) to 5.72(Month High).
In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 14 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Rough Rice(MCE) also closed
lower in July than June in 7(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 7, RRF went on to penetrate the July low within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RRF should penetrate 5.29(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move
toward 4.87(Average Objective).
- October Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCV1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
July(Month). Compared to June's 75.050(Prev Close), the market ended July at (Month Close),
that being 11%(Pct Range) off of
73.635(Month Low) to 76.000(Month High).
In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Live Cattle(CME) also closed
lower in July than June in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, LCV went on to penetrate the July low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCV should penetrate 73.635(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 70.809(Average Objective).
- October Lean Hogs(CME)
- The LEV1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
July(Month). Compared to June's 58.375(Prev Close), the market ended July at (Month Close),
that being 84%(Pct Range) off of
56.925(Month Low) to 60.800(Month High).
In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
higher in July than June in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, LEV went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEV should exceed 60.800(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 65.423(Average Objective).
- February Pork Bellies(CME)
- The PBG2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
July(Month). Compared to June's 79.300(Prev Close), the market ended July at (Month Close),
that being 76%(Pct Range) off of
71.950(Month Low) to 81.800(Month High).
In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Pork Bellies(CME) also closed
higher in July than June in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, PBG went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PBG should exceed 81.800(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 90.697(Average Objective).
- November Orange Juice(NYBOT)
- The JOX1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
July(Month). Compared to June's 81.85(Prev Close), the market ended July at (Month Close),
that being 28%(Pct Range) off of
80.05(Month Low) to 89.00(Month High).
In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the November Orange Juice(NYBOT) also closed
higher in July than June in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, JOX went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JOX should exceed 89.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 95.56(Average Objective).
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