MRCI's Scenario Summary

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MRCI's Scenario^SM Summary


MRCI's Scenario^SM Summary

Copyright © 2001 Moore Research Center, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Some data provided by Prophetfinance.com

Scenario^SM Summary Apr 30, 2001

Historical Data Scenario Data Current Market Data

Mkt
Cond
Month Prev
Close Month
High Month
Low Month
Close Pct
Range Total
Years Cond
Years Action
Years
Pct Scenario
Objective Average
Objective Last
Price

#DJ Higher Apr 9879.00 10906.00 9376.00 10735.00 89% 45 28 24 86% 10906.00 11336.47 10735.00

#OEX Higher Apr 591.65 657.25 554.45 645.45 89% 17 11 11 100% 657.25 686.63 645.45

#NDX Higher Apr 1573.30 1981.90 1348.50 1855.50 80% 15 8 8 100% 1981.90 2139.19 1855.50

#RUT Higher Apr 450.53 490.25 424.64 485.33 93% 22 14 12 86% 490.25 520.07 485.33

#MID Higher Apr 459.90 515.25 432.38 510.37 94% 20 13 11 85% 515.25 545.91 510.37

#VLE Higher Apr 1111.00 1194.40 1042.00 1185.70 94% 18 10 9 90% Yes 1258.05 1185.70

#SSNI Higher Apr 13000 14100 12580 13973 92% 19 12 12 100% Yes 14678 13973

#T35 Higher Apr 505.34 528.09 496.23 523.57 86% 19 10 9 90% Yes 549.46 523.57

#SP Higher Apr 1160.35 1269.30 1092.00 1249.45 89% 45 31 27 87% 1269.30 1316.27 1249.45

SPU1 Higher Apr 1180.00 1283.00 1110.00 1265.20 90% 18 11 11 100% 1283.00 1332.27 1265.20

NDU1 Higher Apr 1609.00 1974.50 1395.00 1887.50 85% 4 3 3 100% 1974.50 2122.67 1887.50

YXU1 Higher Apr 604.10 644.55 575.25 641.30 95% 17 11 10 91% 644.55 669.98 641.30

USU1 Lower Apr 103~23 104~12 99~14 99~29 9% 23 13 11 85% 99~14 95~15 99~29

EDU1 Higher Apr 95.690 95.965 95.365 95.790 71% 19 10 9 90% 95.965 96.592 95.790

SFU1 Higher Apr 57.84 59.55 57.53 57.98 22% 26 11 10 91% 59.55 61.09 57.98

ADU1 Higher Apr 48.52 51.85 47.90 51.21 84% 14 8 7 88% 51.85 53.58 51.21

SIU1 Higher Apr 436.5 456.5 434.0 439.2 23% 37 13 11 85% 456.5 499.7 439.2

CLN1 Higher Apr 26.60 29.47 25.87 28.86 83% 18 11 10 91% 29.47 31.96 28.86

CN1 Lower Apr 212.00 222.75 201.50 207.50 28% 41 24 21 88% 201.50 186.04 207.50

CU1 Lower Apr 220.00 230.50 209.75 215.50 28% 41 23 20 87% 209.75 193.06 215.50

CZ1 Lower Apr 230.00 241.50 219.75 226.50 31% 41 22 20 91% 219.75 203.77 226.50

LCQ1 Lower Apr 71.950 72.900 71.200 71.780 34% 36 15 13 87% 71.200 67.429 71.780

LEN1 Lower Apr 66.225 69.635 65.600 65.725 3% 31 9 9 100% 65.600 61.364 65.725

LEQ1 Lower Apr 62.650 65.950 62.400 62.450 1% 31 8 8 100% 62.400 58.123 62.450

LEV1 Lower Apr 55.175 57.100 53.850 54.200 11% 31 10 9 90% 53.850 50.306 54.200

PBN1 Lower Apr 94.950 97.875 84.500 85.430 7% 36 18 17 94% 84.500 70.871 85.430

PBQ1 Lower Apr 93.450 95.875 82.400 83.385 7% 38 17 16 94% 82.400 69.267 83.385

LBU1 Higher Apr 251.6 288.1 249.7 286.2 95% 28 9 8 89% 288.1 317.7 286.2

CTZ1 Higher Apr 49.02 52.70 48.70 50.31 40% 40 25 21 84% 52.70 56.04 50.31

DJIA Index: The #DJ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 9879.00(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 89%(Pct Range) off of 9376.00(Month Low) to 10906.00(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the DJIA Index also closed higher in April than March in 28(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 28, the #DJ went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #DJ should exceed 10906.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 11336.47(Average Objective).
S & P 100(OEX): The #OEX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 591.65(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 89%(Pct Range) off of 554.45(Month Low) to 657.25(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 17 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 100(OEX) also closed higher in April than March in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, the #OEX went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #OEX should exceed 657.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 686.63(Average Objective).
NASDAQ 100 Index: The #NDX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 1573.30(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 80%(Pct Range) off of 1348.50(Month Low) to 1981.90(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 15 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ 100 Index also closed higher in April than March in 8(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 8, the #NDX went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #NDX should exceed 1981.90(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move toward 2139.19(Average Objective).
Russell 2000 Index: The #RUT(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 450.53(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 93%(Pct Range) off of 424.64(Month Low) to 490.25(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Russell 2000 Index also closed higher in April than March in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, the #RUT went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #RUT should exceed 490.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 520.07(Average Objective).
S & P Midcap 400 Index: The #MID(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 459.90(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 94%(Pct Range) off of 432.38(Month Low) to 515.25(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P Midcap 400 Index also closed higher in April than March in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, the #MID went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #MID should exceed 515.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 545.91(Average Objective).
Value Line Index: The #VLE(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 1111.00(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 94%(Pct Range) off of 1042.00(Month Low) to 1194.40(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 18 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Value Line Index also closed higher in April than March in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, the #VLE went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #VLE should exceed 1194.40(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move toward 1258.05(Average Objective).
Nikkei 225 Index: The #SSNI(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 13000(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 92%(Pct Range) off of 12580(Month Low) to 14100(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 19 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Nikkei 225 Index also closed higher in April than March in 12(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 12, the #SSNI went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SSNI should exceed 14100(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 14678(Average Objective).
Toronto 35 Index: The #T35(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 505.34(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 86%(Pct Range) off of 496.23(Month Low) to 528.09(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 19 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Toronto 35 Index also closed higher in April than March in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, the #T35 went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #T35 should exceed 528.09(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move toward 549.46(Average Objective).
S & P 500 Stock Index: The #SP(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 1160.35(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 89%(Pct Range) off of 1092.00(Month Low) to 1269.30(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 500 Stock Index also closed higher in April than March in 31(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 31, the #SP went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 27 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SP should exceed 1269.30(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 27 years) a potential move toward 1316.27(Average Objective).
September S & P 500(CME): The SPU1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 1180.00(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 90%(Pct Range) off of 1110.00(Month Low) to 1283.00(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 18 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September S & P 500(CME) also closed higher in April than March in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, SPU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SPU should exceed 1283.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 1332.27(Average Objective).
September NASDAQ 100(CME): The NDU1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 1609.00(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 85%(Pct Range) off of 1395.00(Month Low) to 1974.50(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 4 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September NASDAQ 100(CME) also closed higher in April than March in 3(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 3, NDU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 3 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NDU should exceed 1974.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 3 years) a potential move toward 2122.67(Average Objective).
September NYSE Composite(NYBOT): The YXU1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 604.10(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 95%(Pct Range) off of 575.25(Month Low) to 644.55(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 17 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September NYSE Composite(NYBOT) also closed higher in April than March in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, YXU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the YXU should exceed 644.55(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 669.98(Average Objective).
September 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT): The USU1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 103~23(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 9%(Pct Range) off of 99~14(Month Low) to 104~12(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT) also closed lower in April than March in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, USU went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the USU should penetrate 99~14(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 95~15(Average Objective).
September Eurodollars(IMM): The EDU1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 95.690(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 71%(Pct Range) off of 95.365(Month Low) to 95.965(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 19 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Eurodollars(IMM) also closed higher in April than March in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, EDU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDU should exceed 95.965(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move toward 96.592(Average Objective).
September Swiss Franc(IMM): The SFU1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 57.84(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 22%(Pct Range) off of 57.53(Month Low) to 59.55(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Swiss Franc(IMM) also closed higher in April than March in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, SFU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SFU should exceed 59.55(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 61.09(Average Objective).
September Australian Dollar(IMM): The ADU1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 48.52(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 84%(Pct Range) off of 47.90(Month Low) to 51.85(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 14 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Australian Dollar(IMM) also closed higher in April than March in 8(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 8, ADU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ADU should exceed 51.85(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move toward 53.58(Average Objective).
September Silver(CMX): The SIU1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 436.5(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 23%(Pct Range) off of 434.0(Month Low) to 456.5(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Silver(CMX) also closed higher in April than March in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, SIU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SIU should exceed 456.5(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 499.7(Average Objective).
July Crude Oil(NYM): The CLN1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 26.60(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 83%(Pct Range) off of 25.87(Month Low) to 29.47(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 18 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in April than March in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, CLN went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLN should exceed 29.47(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 31.96(Average Objective).
July Corn(CBOT): The CN1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 212.00(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 28%(Pct Range) off of 201.50(Month Low) to 222.75(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Corn(CBOT) also closed lower in April than March in 24(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 24, CN went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CN should penetrate 201.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 186.04(Average Objective).
September Corn(CBOT): The CU1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 220.00(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 28%(Pct Range) off of 209.75(Month Low) to 230.50(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Corn(CBOT) also closed lower in April than March in 23(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 23, CU went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CU should penetrate 209.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 193.06(Average Objective).
December Corn(CBOT): The CZ1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 230.00(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 31%(Pct Range) off of 219.75(Month Low) to 241.50(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Corn(CBOT) also closed lower in April than March in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, CZ went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CZ should penetrate 219.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 203.77(Average Objective).
August Live Cattle(CME): The LCQ1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 71.950(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 34%(Pct Range) off of 71.200(Month Low) to 72.900(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Live Cattle(CME) also closed lower in April than March in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, LCQ went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCQ should penetrate 71.200(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 67.429(Average Objective).
July Lean Hogs(CME): The LEN1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 66.225(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 3%(Pct Range) off of 65.600(Month Low) to 69.635(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Lean Hogs(CME) also closed lower in April than March in 9(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 9, LEN went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEN should penetrate 65.600(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move toward 61.364(Average Objective).
August Lean Hogs(CME): The LEQ1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 62.650(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 1%(Pct Range) off of 62.400(Month Low) to 65.950(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Lean Hogs(CME) also closed lower in April than March in 8(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 8, LEQ went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEQ should penetrate 62.400(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move toward 58.123(Average Objective).
October Lean Hogs(CME): The LEV1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 55.175(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 11%(Pct Range) off of 53.850(Month Low) to 57.100(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Lean Hogs(CME) also closed lower in April than March in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, LEV went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEV should penetrate 53.850(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move toward 50.306(Average Objective).
July Pork Bellies(CME): The PBN1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 94.950(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 7%(Pct Range) off of 84.500(Month Low) to 97.875(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Pork Bellies(CME) also closed lower in April than March in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, PBN went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PBN should penetrate 84.500(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 70.871(Average Objective).
August Pork Bellies(CME): The PBQ1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 93.450(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 7%(Pct Range) off of 82.400(Month Low) to 95.875(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Pork Bellies(CME) also closed lower in April than March in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, PBQ went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PBQ should penetrate 82.400(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 69.267(Average Objective).
September Lumber(CME): The LBU1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 251.6(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 95%(Pct Range) off of 249.7(Month Low) to 288.1(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Lumber(CME) also closed higher in April than March in 9(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 9, LBU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LBU should exceed 288.1(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move toward 317.7(Average Objective).
December Cotton(NYBOT): The CTZ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 49.02(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 40%(Pct Range) off of 48.70(Month Low) to 52.70(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Cotton(NYBOT) also closed higher in April than March in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, CTZ went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CTZ should exceed 52.70(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 56.04(Average Objective).