- Dow Jones Utilities
- The #UTIL(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 372.32(Prev Close), the market ended February at (Month Close),
that being 64%(Pct Range) off of
363.21(Month Low) to 399.12(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Utilities also closed
higher in February than January in 9(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 9, the #UTIL went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #UTIL should exceed 399.12(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move
toward 414.27(Average Objective).
- Toronto 35 Index
- The #T35(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 585.00(Prev Close), the market ended February at (Month Close),
that being 21%(Pct Range) off of
528.81(Month Low) to 595.39(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 19 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Toronto 35 Index also closed
lower in February than January in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, the #T35 went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #T35 should penetrate 528.81(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move
toward 502.85(Average Objective).
- June NASDAQ 100(CME)
- The NDM1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 2641.00(Prev Close), the market ended February at (Month Close),
that being 4%(Pct Range) off of
1905.00(Month Low) to 2658.50(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 4 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June NASDAQ 100(CME) also closed
lower in February than January in 2(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 2, NDM went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 2 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NDM should penetrate 1905.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 2 years) a potential move
toward 1857.38(Average Objective).
- June 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT)
- The TYM1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 104~290(Prev Close), the market ended February at (Month Close),
that being 99%(Pct Range) off of
103~250(Month Low) to 105~310(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 18 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed
higher in February than January in 8(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 8, TYM went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TYM should exceed 105~310(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move
toward 108~034(Average Objective).
- September Eurodollars(IMM)
- The EDU1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 95.185(Prev Close), the market ended February at (Month Close),
that being 92%(Pct Range) off of
94.875(Month Low) to 95.400(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 18 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Eurodollars(IMM) also closed
higher in February than January in 8(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 8, EDU went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDU should exceed 95.400(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move
toward 95.755(Average Objective).
- June Swiss Franc(IMM)
- The SFM1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 61.40(Prev Close), the market ended February at (Month Close),
that being 35%(Pct Range) off of
59.20(Month Low) to 62.01(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Swiss Franc(IMM) also closed
lower in February than January in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, SFM went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SFM should penetrate 59.20(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 56.96(Average Objective).
- April Gold(CMX)
- The GCJ1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 268.0(Prev Close), the market ended February at (Month Close),
that being 80%(Pct Range) off of
256.0(Month Low) to 270.8(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Gold(CMX) also closed
lower in February than January in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, GCJ went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the GCJ should penetrate 256.0(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 242.5(Average Objective).
- June Gold(CMX)
- The GCM1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 270.1(Prev Close), the market ended February at (Month Close),
that being 77%(Pct Range) off of
258.2(Month Low) to 273.2(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Gold(CMX) also closed
lower in February than January in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, GCM went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the GCM should penetrate 258.2(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 243.6(Average Objective).
- August Gold(CMX)
- The GCQ1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 271.9(Prev Close), the market ended February at (Month Close),
that being 79%(Pct Range) off of
259.5(Month Low) to 274.6(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Gold(CMX) also closed
lower in February than January in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, GCQ went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the GCQ should penetrate 259.5(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 245.8(Average Objective).
- May Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLK1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 27.41(Prev Close), the market ended February at (Month Close),
that being 4%(Pct Range) off of
27.35(Month Low) to 30.86(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 17 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in February than January in 8(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 8, CLK went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLK should exceed 30.86(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move
toward 34.22(Average Objective).
- June Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLM1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 26.99(Prev Close), the market ended February at (Month Close),
that being 12%(Pct Range) off of
27.00(Month Low) to 30.13(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 17 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in February than January in 8(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 8, CLM went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLM should exceed 30.13(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move
toward 33.14(Average Objective).
- July Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLN1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 26.59(Prev Close), the market ended February at (Month Close),
that being 16%(Pct Range) off of
26.65(Month Low) to 29.45(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 17 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in February than January in 8(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 8, CLN went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLN should exceed 29.45(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move
toward 32.09(Average Objective).
- August Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLQ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 26.20(Prev Close), the market ended February at (Month Close),
that being 24%(Pct Range) off of
26.20(Month Low) to 28.83(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 17 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in February than January in 8(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 8, CLQ went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLQ should exceed 28.83(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move
toward 31.22(Average Objective).
- May Unleaded Gas(NYM)
- The HUK1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 86.03(Prev Close), the market ended February at (Month Close),
that being 3%(Pct Range) off of
86.00(Month Low) to 96.25(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 15 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Unleaded Gas(NYM) also closed
higher in February than January in 4(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 4, HUK went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 4 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HUK should exceed 96.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 4 years) a potential move
toward 112.60(Average Objective).
- June Unleaded Gas(NYM)
- The HUM1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 84.33(Prev Close), the market ended February at (Month Close),
that being 7%(Pct Range) off of
84.50(Month Low) to 94.10(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 15 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Unleaded Gas(NYM) also closed
higher in February than January in 4(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 4, HUM went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 4 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HUM should exceed 94.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 4 years) a potential move
toward 106.29(Average Objective).
- July Unleaded Gas(NYM)
- The HUN1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 82.18(Prev Close), the market ended February at (Month Close),
that being 10%(Pct Range) off of
82.60(Month Low) to 91.20(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 15 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Unleaded Gas(NYM) also closed
higher in February than January in 4(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 4, HUN went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 4 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HUN should exceed 91.20(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 4 years) a potential move
toward 102.72(Average Objective).
- July Soybean Oil(CBOT)
- The BON1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 15.33(Prev Close), the market ended February at (Month Close),
that being 85%(Pct Range) off of
15.11(Month Low) to 16.49(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed
higher in February than January in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, BON went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BON should exceed 16.49(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 18.14(Average Objective).
- August Soybean Oil(CBOT)
- The BOQ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 15.46(Prev Close), the market ended February at (Month Close),
that being 85%(Pct Range) off of
15.30(Month Low) to 16.60(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 39 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed
higher in February than January in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, BOQ went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOQ should exceed 16.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 18.23(Average Objective).
- October Soybean Oil(CBOT)
- The BOV1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 15.83(Prev Close), the market ended February at (Month Close),
that being 92%(Pct Range) off of
15.68(Month Low) to 16.95(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed
higher in February than January in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, BOV went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOV should exceed 16.95(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 18.37(Average Objective).
- December Soybean Oil(CBOT)
- The BOZ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 16.17(Prev Close), the market ended February at (Month Close),
that being 92%(Pct Range) off of
16.00(Month Low) to 17.30(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed
higher in February than January in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, BOZ went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOZ should exceed 17.30(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 18.70(Average Objective).
- May Wheat(KCBT)
- The KWK1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 328.75(Prev Close), the market ended February at (Month Close),
that being 46%(Pct Range) off of
314.50(Month Low) to 329.75(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Wheat(KCBT) also closed
lower in February than January in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, KWK went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWK should penetrate 314.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 298.52(Average Objective).
- April Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCJ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 76.825(Prev Close), the market ended February at (Month Close),
that being 96%(Pct Range) off of
77.000(Month Low) to 81.575(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Live Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in February than January in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, LCJ went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCJ should exceed 81.575(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 87.041(Average Objective).
- June Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCM1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 71.575(Prev Close), the market ended February at (Month Close),
that being 98%(Pct Range) off of
71.700(Month Low) to 74.000(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Live Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in February than January in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, LCM went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCM should exceed 74.000(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 78.556(Average Objective).
- June Lean Hogs(CME)
- The LEM1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 63.700(Prev Close), the market ended February at (Month Close),
that being 95%(Pct Range) off of
62.850(Month Low) to 67.400(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
higher in February than January in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, LEM went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEM should exceed 67.400(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 73.441(Average Objective).
- July Lean Hogs(CME)
- The LEN1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 61.400(Prev Close), the market ended February at (Month Close),
that being 85%(Pct Range) off of
61.025(Month Low) to 64.400(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
higher in February than January in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, LEN went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEN should exceed 64.400(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 70.341(Average Objective).
- May Pork Bellies(CME)
- The PBK1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 69.050(Prev Close), the market ended February at (Month Close),
that being 81%(Pct Range) off of
67.300(Month Low) to 80.625(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Pork Bellies(CME) also closed
higher in February than January in 12(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 12, PBK went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PBK should exceed 80.625(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 92.835(Average Objective).
- July Pork Bellies(CME)
- The PBN1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 70.000(Prev Close), the market ended February at (Month Close),
that being 84%(Pct Range) off of
67.500(Month Low) to 81.100(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Pork Bellies(CME) also closed
higher in February than January in 12(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 12, PBN went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PBN should exceed 81.100(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 93.374(Average Objective).
- August Pork Bellies(CME)
- The PBQ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 70.500(Prev Close), the market ended February at (Month Close),
that being 88%(Pct Range) off of
67.950(Month Low) to 79.100(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Pork Bellies(CME) also closed
higher in February than January in 12(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 12, PBQ went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PBQ should exceed 79.100(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 91.666(Average Objective).
- October Sugar #11(NYBOT)
- The SBV1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 8.70(Prev Close), the market ended February at (Month Close),
that being 27%(Pct Range) off of
7.86(Month Low) to 8.94(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Sugar #11(NYBOT) also closed
lower in February than January in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, SBV went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBV should penetrate 7.86(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 6.59(Average Objective).
- May Lumber(CME)
- The LBK1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 236.4(Prev Close), the market ended February at (Month Close),
that being 21%(Pct Range) off of
213.9(Month Low) to 241.6(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Lumber(CME) also closed
lower in February than January in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, LBK went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LBK should penetrate 213.9(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 196.3(Average Objective).
- September Lumber(CME)
- The LBU1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 250.5(Prev Close), the market ended February at (Month Close),
that being 27%(Pct Range) off of
237.3(Month Low) to 255.4(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Lumber(CME) also closed
lower in February than January in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, LBU went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LBU should penetrate 237.3(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 221.6(Average Objective).
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