|
ScenarioSM Study for July Silver(CMX) as of Dec 30, 2016 | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
Tested Month | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun |
Tested Years | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
Closed Higher | 19 | 26 | 20 | 19 | 23 | 27 | 23 | 19 | 16 | 23 | 16 | |
Exceeded High | 12 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 22 | 21 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 11 | |
Scenario Percentage | 63% | 65% | 65% | 84% | 96% | 78% | 61% | 68% | 88% | 70% | 69% | |
Avg Max Increase | 21.56% | 12.95% | 16.83% | 21.65% | 19.82% | 15.92% | 12.00% | 16.29% | 8.98% | 9.44% | 9.39% | |
Max Increase | 68.96% | 33.89% | 67.69% | 113.82% | 93.28% | 56.94% | 47.41% | 57.27% | 15.57% | 27.24% | 20.69% | |
Avg Days To Max Increase | 16 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 16 | 11 | 14 | |
Avg Max Decline | -1.38% | -2.93% | -3.08% | -1.15% | -2.87% | -2.21% | -1.72% | -2.28% | -3.49% | -2.53% | -0.96% | |
Max Decline | -9.66% | -10.44% | -10.22% | -9.41% | -14.79% | -7.94% | -5.56% | -6.28% | -11.16% | -10.00% | -4.85% | |
Avg Days to Max Decline | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 3 | |
2016 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||||
Action | No | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Copyright © 1989- Moore Research Center, Inc. All Rights Reserved. |
---|
Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.