MRCI Online
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| ScenarioSM Study for May Silver(CMX) as of Dec 31, 2010 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
| Tested Month | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr |
| Tested Years | 44 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
| Closed Higher | 15 | 27 | 18 | 26 | 19 | 20 | 24 | 26 | 20 | 19 | 15 | |
| Exceeded High | 10 | 19 | 11 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 13 | 12 | 12 | |
| Scenario Percentage | 67% | 70% | 61% | 69% | 79% | 85% | 83% | 77% | 65% | 63% | 80% | |
| Avg Max Increase | 11.49% | 12.60% | 21.19% | 12.06% | 14.53% | 20.83% | 20.43% | 15.80% | 9.08% | 14.39% | 8.79% | |
| Max Increase | 22.00% | 80.59% | 68.28% | 32.02% | 67.55% | 114.83% | 93.80% | 57.31% | 26.58% | 57.48% | 13.70% | |
| Avg Days To Max Increase | 17 | 17 | 20 | 18 | 14 | 18 | 14 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 16 | |
| Avg Max Decline | -1.44% | -3.22% | -1.70% | -3.17% | -2.61% | -1.20% | -2.25% | -3.04% | -1.74% | -2.25% | -2.98% | |
| Max Decline | -3.97% | -12.99% | -10.63% | -11.70% | -10.51% | -9.71% | -9.88% | -14.63% | -5.30% | -8.31% | -8.88% | |
| Avg Days to Max Decline | 6 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 3 | |
| 2010 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||
| Action | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
