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ScenarioSM Study for March Silver(CMX) as of Jan 01, 2015 | ||||||||||||
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Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
Tested Month | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb |
Tested Years | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
Closed Higher | 16 | 22 | 14 | 28 | 22 | 27 | 21 | 19 | 22 | 26 | 22 | |
Exceeded High | 13 | 16 | 11 | 22 | 14 | 19 | 15 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 13 | |
Scenario Percentage | 81% | 73% | 79% | 79% | 64% | 70% | 71% | 84% | 91% | 77% | 59% | |
Avg Max Increase | 8.47% | 10.53% | 10.99% | 14.44% | 21.22% | 12.23% | 14.84% | 22.06% | 21.07% | 13.88% | 6.55% | |
Max Increase | 14.78% | 27.27% | 22.02% | 81.96% | 67.95% | 34.44% | 67.34% | 115.36% | 95.03% | 58.37% | 15.74% | |
Avg Days To Max Increase | 16 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 14 | |
Avg Max Decline | -2.21% | -2.32% | -1.84% | -3.42% | -1.73% | -3.20% | -3.09% | -1.51% | -3.12% | -3.18% | -1.59% | |
Max Decline | -9.18% | -9.91% | -7.22% | -13.99% | -10.68% | -11.59% | -10.90% | -10.80% | -14.99% | -14.24% | -3.66% | |
Avg Days to Max Decline | 4 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 3 | |
2014 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||||||
Action | Yes | No | No | Not Yet |
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.