MRCI Online
|
| ScenarioSM Study for December Gold(CMX) as of Dec 30, 2016 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
| Tested Month | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov |
| Tested Years | 42 | 42 | 42 | 42 | 42 | 42 | 42 | 42 | 42 | 42 | 42 | |
| Closed Higher | 19 | 20 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 20 | 23 | 26 | 18 | 21 | |
| Exceeded High | 14 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 19 | 14 | 15 | |
| Scenario Percentage | 74% | 60% | 67% | 72% | 72% | 73% | 80% | 78% | 73% | 78% | 71% | |
| Avg Max Increase | 6.74% | 5.05% | 8.50% | 6.45% | 6.57% | 6.06% | 12.72% | 11.47% | 8.67% | 7.29% | 4.90% | |
| Max Increase | 15.14% | 11.10% | 24.83% | 13.41% | 26.11% | 14.27% | 43.18% | 36.06% | 21.45% | 17.88% | 21.69% | |
| Avg Days To Max Increase | 15 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 9 | 12 | |
| Avg Max Decline | -1.89% | -1.23% | -1.14% | -1.72% | -1.65% | -1.27% | -2.07% | -0.91% | -1.64% | -1.29% | -1.45% | |
| Max Decline | -6.75% | -2.96% | -2.01% | -6.89% | -4.98% | -4.24% | -4.30% | -3.76% | -6.62% | -3.23% | -9.34% | |
| Avg Days to Max Decline | 7 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 3 | |
| 2016 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||
| Action | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | No | No | |||||
| Copyright © 1989- Moore Research Center, Inc. All Rights Reserved. |
|---|
Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
