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ScenarioSM Study for June EuroFX(CME) as of Jan 01, 2016 | ||||||||||||
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Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
Tested Month | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May |
Tested Years | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | |
Closed Higher | 7 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 6 | |
Exceeded High | 7 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 | |
Scenario Percentage | 100% | 86% | 89% | 89% | 71% | 56% | 83% | 78% | 100% | 78% | 67% | |
Avg Max Increase | 3.47% | 3.40% | 3.69% | 3.89% | 5.08% | 3.74% | 3.69% | 3.93% | 5.83% | 2.97% | 2.06% | |
Max Increase | 6.39% | 5.50% | 7.34% | 7.06% | 9.95% | 4.25% | 6.98% | 7.84% | 9.75% | 6.89% | 3.39% | |
Avg Days To Max Increase | 17 | 14 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 10 | 17 | 22 | 22 | 13 | 8 | |
Avg Max Decline | -1.17% | -0.72% | -1.05% | -0.89% | -0.65% | -1.72% | -1.28% | -1.08% | -1.40% | -0.90% | -0.50% | |
Max Decline | -2.98% | -2.62% | -1.93% | -2.17% | -1.13% | -3.69% | -2.92% | -2.73% | -3.07% | -2.80% | -0.82% | |
Avg Days to Max Decline | 17 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | |
2015 Contract Condition | Yes | |||||||||||
Action | Yes |
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.