MRCI Online
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| ScenarioSM Study for March EuroFX(CME) as of Jan 01, 2019 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
| Tested Month | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb |
| Tested Years | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | |
| Closed Higher | 11 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 11 | |
| Exceeded High | 9 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 7 | |
| Scenario Percentage | 82% | 86% | 64% | 100% | 70% | 80% | 89% | 89% | 75% | 88% | 64% | |
| Avg Max Increase | 3.36% | 3.58% | 3.97% | 3.15% | 3.19% | 3.81% | 3.95% | 5.15% | 3.49% | 2.59% | 2.10% | |
| Max Increase | 10.46% | 8.80% | 8.32% | 6.26% | 5.57% | 7.34% | 7.01% | 9.97% | 4.59% | 7.05% | 4.60% | |
| Avg Days To Max Increase | 15 | 14 | 21 | 17 | 14 | 21 | 17 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| Avg Max Decline | -0.52% | -0.67% | -1.44% | -1.23% | -0.56% | -1.19% | -0.97% | -0.68% | -1.56% | -1.27% | -0.72% | |
| Max Decline | -2.52% | -1.72% | -3.00% | -3.07% | -2.62% | -2.19% | -2.30% | -1.51% | -3.70% | -2.93% | -1.23% | |
| Avg Days to Max Decline | 6 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 3 | |
| 2018 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||
| Action | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
