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MRCI's Seasonal Strategy #4957 - Lean Hogs(CME)-July

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MRCI's Seasonal Strategy #4957
MRCI encourages all traders to employ appropriate money-management techniques at all times.
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Lean Hog
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Strategies
Lean Hogs(CME)-July
Buy on approximately 11/01 - Exit on approximately 12/01 Contract Size: 40,000 lbs

Cont
Year

Buy
Date

Buy
Price

Exit
Date

Exit
Price


Profit

Profit
Amount
Best
Equity
Date
Best
Equity
Amount
Worst
Equity
Date
Worst
Equity
Amount
2017 11/01/16 72.90 12/01/16 73.25 0.35 140.00 11/25/16 820.00    
2016 11/02/15 75.63 12/01/15 76.15 0.52 208.00 12/01/15 208.00 11/16/15 -1660.00
2015 11/03/14 93.10 12/01/14 95.70 2.60 1040.00 11/24/14 1940.00 11/05/14 -220.00
2014 11/01/13 96.63 11/29/13 98.93 2.30 920.00 11/29/13 920.00    
2013 11/01/12 100.23 11/30/12 101.25 1.02 408.00 11/30/12 408.00 11/06/12 -772.00
2012 11/01/11 98.40 12/01/11 98.85 0.45 180.00 11/04/11 400.00 11/10/11 -812.00
2011 11/01/10 84.50 12/01/10 88.12 3.62 1448.00 11/11/10 1680.00    
2010 11/02/09 74.60 12/01/09 77.15 2.55 1020.00 12/01/09 1020.00    
2009 11/03/08 79.12 12/01/08 81.40 2.28 912.00 11/28/08 1120.00 11/17/08 -168.00
2008 11/01/07 74.15 11/30/07 74.85 0.70 280.00 11/09/07 700.00    
2007 11/01/06 71.30 12/01/06 72.42 1.12 448.00 11/24/06 720.00 11/17/06 -340.00
2006 11/01/05 66.25 12/01/05 70.25 4.00 1600.00 12/01/05 1600.00    
2005 11/01/04 66.15 12/01/04 71.07 4.92 1968.00 11/30/04 2300.00 11/03/04 -120.00
2004 11/03/03 61.95 12/01/03 62.17 0.22 88.00 11/07/03 300.00 11/25/03 -332.00
2003 11/01/02 59.50 11/29/02 62.82 3.32 1328.00 11/27/02 1380.00    
Percentage Correct 100      
Average Profit on Winning Trades 2.00 799.20   Winners 15
Average Loss on Trades       Losers 0
Average Net Profit Per Trade 2.00 799.20   Total trades 15
SEASONAL TENDENCIES ARE A COMPOSITE OF SOME OF THE MORE CONSISTENT COMMODITY FUTURES SEASONALS THAT HAVE OCCURRED OVER THE PAST 15 YEARS. THERE ARE USUALLY UNDERLYING FUNDAMENTAL CIRCUMSTANCES THAT OCCUR ANNUALLY THAT TEND TO CAUSE THE FUTURES MARKETS TO REACT IN A SIMILAR DIRECTIONAL MANNER DURING A CERTAIN CALENDAR PERIOD OF THE YEAR. EVEN IF A SEASONAL TENDENCY OCCURS IN THE FUTURE, IT MAY NOT RESULT IN A PROFITABLE TRANSACTION AS FEES, AND THE TIMING OF THE ENTRY AND LIQUIDATION MAY IMPACT ON THE RESULTS. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT HAS IN THE PAST OR WILL IN THE FUTURE ACHIEVE PROFITS UTILIZING THESE STRATEGIES. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT PRICE PATTERNS WILL RECUR IN THE FUTURE. HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.
Some data provided by Commodity Research Bureau

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Newsflash

In 2005 Wheat was trading at a subdued $3.00/bushel. Three years later, the CBOT's soft red had more than quadrupled to $13.00 --- while hard red spring traded in Minneapolis soared to an astonishing $24.00! Now as winter wheat prepares to emerge and spring wheat will soon be planted, all three classes of wheat trade mostly between $4.50 and $5.00.

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